Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 9.55. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

This week much of the Region should experience sunny to mostly sunny weather. Besides today, temperatures throughout the week we should experience highs in the low to mid 70s and lows from the upper 40s to low 60s with another cold front moving through the region on Friday. Based on the forecasts, our rain chances for the majority of the week should remain low with our highest chance for rain (20% to 30%) on Thursday. Overall, the lower Brazos River watershed, including Fort Bend County, could see less than ¼ inch of rain over the next 7 days.

Winter Outlook

The Climate Prediction Center has released their winter temperature and precipitation outlook for December through February. Based on their modeling, the southern United States, including Texas, could see warmer than normal temperatures and drier than normal conditions through the climatological winter. Please note that this forecast only includes the probabilities of experiencing these conditions over the entire 3 month period. Even during warmer and/or drier than normal winters, it is possible for the region to experience periods of colder and wetter weather.

2019 Hurricane Season

The Atlantic Hurricane Season officially ended on Saturday, November 30. In summary, the season included 18 named Storms, 6 Hurricanes, and 3 Major Hurricanes (Cat. 3 and Higher). The most impactful to the State of Texas was Tropical Strom Imelda, which was the 7th wettest tropical cyclone for the United States.

Even though Hurricane Season has ended, please remember that severe weather and flooding does not just occur June through November (ex. May 7, 2019, Tax Day 2016, Memorial Day 2015 and 2016). We encourage everyone to remain prepared, stay informed, and purchase flood insurance. For more information, please visit Ready.gov and FloodSmart.gov.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 9.75. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

This week will be a another mix of warm and cool weather. High temperatures to start the week will hit in the upper 70’s to possibly the low 80’s until our next cold front arrives on Tuesday/Wednesday. This will bring highs down to the upper 60’s for Wednesday with a return of highs in the upper 70’s to possibly the low 80’s for Thanksgiving into the Weekend. The NWS anticipates another cold front pushing through the region over the weekend. Based on the forecasts, our rain changes for the majority of the week could remain between 20 to 50%, with our highest chance for rain on Tuesday. The forecasts vary slightly, but the majority of the lower Brazos River watershed could see less than ½ inch of rain over the next 7 days with Fort Bend County seeing less than ¼ inch.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 9.73 and forecasted to rise to 10.4. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

After a cold week, this week will start with warmer temperatures and lower rain chances. Through Wednesday we should see highs in the low to upper-70s with sunny to partly cloudy skies with low chances for rain. The exact timing varies, but the NWS is anticipating our next cold front to move through the region sometime between Friday and Saturday morning. Ahead of the front, our rain chances increase to 20 to 50% starting late Wednesday evening through Saturday morning. Overall the majority of the lower Brazos River watershed, including Fort Bend County, could see less than ½ inch of rainfall over the next 7 days.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 10.35 and continuing to fall. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

Based on the forecast, today, Monday, will be our highest chance for rain as a Artic Cold Front moves through the Region. Monday’s high temperatures will reach the upper 70s before the cold front moves through dropping the temperatures into the low 30s by tonight into Tuesday morning. Temperatures will remain in the low 30s to mid-50s through Thursday before warming up back into the 60s into the weekend. Over the next 7 days, the NWS has forecasted much of the lower Brazos River Watershed receiving less than ½ inch of rain. The majority of this precipitation could occur over the next 12 to 18 hours with another potential round of showers on Thursday.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 10.42 and continuing to fall from the slight rise that occurred last week. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

We can expect relativity dry and warm conditions over the next 3 to 4 days as we wait for our next cold front to arrive toward the end of the week. As it approaches, our chance for rain increases with our highest chance occurring on Thursday. Overall much of the State of Texas is anticipated to get some rainfall over the next 7 days. Based on the forecasts, the lower Brazos River Watershed could see around a quarter of an inch with Fort Bend County potentially receiving as much as 0.5 to 0.75 inches. The majority of this rainfall could occur Thursday evening into early Friday morning.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 9.54. We are anticipating a slight rise in the Brazos River through Richmond; however, based on the forecasts the Brazos in Richmond should remain below Richmond Gage 11. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

We are starting the week with a warm and sunny Monday before another round of potential storms work their way through the majority of eastern half of Texas. This is all ahead of another cold front that should move through the Region late Wednesday evening into early Thursday morning. Based on the forecasts, the upper portions of the Brazos River Watershed could see between 1 to 1.5 inches of rainfall while Fort Bend County and the lower portions see and inch or less over the next 3 to 4 days.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

There are no current threats of tropical development impacted the western Gulf of Mexico.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 9.96. Morning rains have slightly increased the Brazos through Richmond; however, based on the forecasts the Brazos in Richmond should remain below Richmond Gage 10. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

As of 11 am, the early morning storms have produced as much as 3 inches of rainfall in the southern most portion of Fort Bend County with other portions of the County seeing between 0.3 to 1.5 inches. The remainder of Monday through Wednesday should be sunny to mostly sunny skies with highs approaching 80° and lows in the upper 50s to low 60s. The region is expected to see another cold front Friday bringing an increased chance for rain Thursday and Friday. Based on the forecasts, the lower Brazos River Watershed including Fort Bend County could see 1.25 to 1.75 inches of rainfall over the next 7 days.

Tropical Wave Update – 10/15/2019 at 2:30 PM

The National Hurricane Center has increased the chance of the Tropical Disturbance over Central America to a 40% chance of development over the next 5 days. The good news is that the forecasts are continuing to show this system avoiding the Texas coastline and move through the western Gulf of Mexico in a clockwise rotation to the northeast. The system could bring additional moisture into our region, but this track keeps the heaviest rainfall to our east. Overall, the lower Brazos River Watershed, including Fort Bend County, could receive 1 to 2 inches over the next 7 days. We will continue to watch for changes in the forecast and provide updates as necessary.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 9.28. Due to rainfall that occurred in the upper portions of the watershed, we are seeing slight rises within the Brazos. Through Fort Bend County, we should remain below Richmond Gage 10. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

Based on the forecasts, we will start the week warming back up in to the mid to high 80s and possibly into the low 90s before another cold pushes through our region on Wednesday. We have increased chances for rain over the next 3 days with our highest chance for rain occurring late Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning. Throughout Wednesday our rain chances decrease with a sunny to partly cloudy conditions Thursday through Saturday. Overall, the 7-day precipitation forecast is showing the upper portions of the Brazos River watershed (Bryan/College Station/Brenham) receiving 2 to 2.5 inches of rain with the lower portions, through Fort Bend County, receiving around 1.5 inches.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

The National Hurricane Center is watching 2 disturbances located in the Atlantic. A third disturbance is located near the west coast of Central America. It is anticipated to move in a west to northwesterly direction across Honduras, Southern Belize and Northern Guatemala. We are watching this disturbances for any changes in its path; however, at this time it is not expected to impact our region.

Based on the forecasts, we do have the potential for increased tropical moisture due to the disturbance over the weekend, possible Sunday, and into early next week. It is too early to tell exactly how and if this disturbance will move through the western portion of the Gulf of Mexico, but the current forecasts are showing this system being potentially being pushed east of our region moving toward the Louisiana coast. This would keep much of the heavy rainfall east of Fort Bend County and the lower Brazos River watershed. Borrowing from HCFCD’s morning update:

NHC is currently monitoring this area for tropical cyclone development (20% chance over the next 5 days) and how organized this system becomes will ultimately determine rain chances for the upcoming weekend into early next week. A strong trough will likely be approaching the area early next week and if tropical moisture from the SW Gulf can become entrained into this feature, heavy rainfall would certainly be possible. Should a more well defined tropical system organize and track toward the Louisiana coast, then much of the heavy rainfall would be carried just east of our area. Plenty of time to watch and fine tune the forecast for this weekend into early next week.

LID 14 Cuts Tax Rate over 30%

On September 9, the LID 14 Board of Directors voted to reduce taxes for residents. The LID’s 2019 tax rate will be $0.15 on each $100 of assessed valuation of taxable property within the district, down from $0.2095 for the previous tax year. This will result in tax savings of over 30% for LID residents. And, as a result of the Board’s agreement with Fort Bend County Tax Assessor-Collector Carrie Surratt to allow the County to collect taxes, your taxes payable to the LID will be included on your County tax bill.

The Board also voted to enact significant debt reduction measures by paying off some of the LID’s outstanding bonds ahead of schedule. The Board of Directors takes its role as stewards of taxpayer funds seriously, and always strives to improve service and reduce costs while continuing to provide storm drainage and flood control and protection for its residents.