Now that the system has moved on, we are getting a much clearer picture of how the Brazos River will respond to the rainfall received. In summary, the upper Brazos River (upstream of Waco) received widespread rainfall amounts between 2 to 4 inches with isolated amounts over 6 inches. From Waco through Hempstead, the watershed received widespread rainfall amounts between 2 to 3 inches with some isolated amounts closer to 4 inches. Overall, the lower portion of the Brazos River (downstream of Hempstead) received less rainfall than anticipated with amounts less than 1 inch with many receiving less than 0.20 inches.
With the rainfall received upstream of Hempstead, we are going to see elevated levels along the Brazos River from College Station to Richmond. Based on the current forecast, the Brazos River in Richmond could hit Gage Elevation 42.5 feet on Tuesday afternoon. Please note that the Richmond forecast is the highest point at the end of the forecast window, which means this may or may not represent the final peak in Richmond.
Based on the extended weather forecasts, it appears that the watershed will get a minor break from the stormy weather with the next several days showing sunny to mostly sunny skies with highs in the mid to low 80s. This could take us through Monday with rain chances returning on Tuesday. The heaviest rainfall is currently in North Texas over the next 7 days with the upper portions of the watershed receiving 2 to 3 inches and the lower portions of the watershed receiving 0.25 to 1.5 inches. We will continue to monitor changes in the forecasts.