Tuesday: Tropical Weather Outlook

Tropical cyclone formation remains possible for the NW Gulf of Mexico late this week.

Residents along the TX coast should closely monitor the progress of this system and have hurricane plans and kits in place.

There has been little change in organization of the tropical wave over the Caribbean Sea overnight. Sporadic deep convection continues to develop in an near what is most likely a mid level low pressure system. Thus far there have not been any surface observations to support any surface low pressure formation. Upper level winds remain fairly strong out of the WSW/W as the system is on the eastern side of a weakening upper level trough over the central Gulf of Mexico. As this upper trough weakens and the tropical wave axis moves into the southern Gulf of Mexico upper level winds will become somewhat more favorable for the formation of a tropical cyclone.

The GFS, ECMWF, and CMC models either maintain an open tropical wave or attempt to close off a surface low pressure system along the wave axis in the Thursday and Friday period as the feature moves NW toward the TX coast. It is unclear at this point if the system will be able to close off a surface low, but development chances increase as it nears the TX coast late this week…so things can and will likely change quickly on Thursday and Friday.

Regardless of actual development of a closed low pressure system the main impacts appear to be heavy rainfall and potential flooding. Wet and soggy grounds are already in place over much of coastal TX and additional rainfall is likely both today and Wednesday. Deep tropical moisture with the tropical feature will begin to arrive on the TX coast late Friday with bands of heavy rainfall and gusty winds spreading along the TX coast Friday and into Saturday.

At the moment it is still too early to discuss specific impacts, but the threat for heavy rainfall and potential flooding late this week into this weekend along the entire TX coast is increasing. For now will leave tides, winds, and seas alone and await better trends in any center track and intensity of the feature. Even an open wave axis will likely produce 20-30kts across the NW Gulf waters. This could be a system where much of the adverse conditions will occur to the north and east of any actual surface center.

Forecast confidence toward the end of the week and weekend is low and residents along the TX coast should closely monitor forecasts over the next few days for changes.

Short Term (Tuesday)

Last night the NWS extended the Flash Flood Watch until 6 PM this evening. Based on the forecasts, the heaviest rains should be generally along and south of US-59. These wet conditions will stay with us through Saturday. Much of Fort Bend and Harris Counties could see another 1 to 2 inches today with a total of 2 to 3 inches over the next 7 days. As mentioned above these rainfall amounts could vary depending on the development of Invest 95L.

Notice of Public Hearing on Tax Rate

The FORT BEND COUNTY L.I.D. #14 will hold a public hearing on a proposed tax rate for the tax year 2018 on September 10, 2018 at 3:00 P.M. at One Avalon Place, Sugar Land, Texas 77479. Your individual taxes may increase or decrease, depending on the change in the taxable value of your property in relation to the change in taxable value of all other property and the tax rate that is adopted.

FOR the proposal: Jeff Anderson, Herbert Krog and Sujeeth Draksharam
AGAINST the proposal: None
PRESENT and not voting: None

The following table compares taxes on an average residence homestead in this taxing unit last year to taxes proposed on the average residence homestead this year.

Notice of Taxpayers’ Right to Rollback Election

If taxes on the average residence homestead increase by more than eight percent, the qualified voters of the district by petition may require that an election be held to determine whether to reduce the operation and maintenance tax rate to the rollback tax rate under Section 49.236(d), Water Code.

Bob Leared Interests, 713-932-9011

Letter of Map Amendment (LOMA)

The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) approved FBCLID No. 14’s request for a Letter of Map Amendment (LOMA) on August 3, 2018. The intent of the LOMA was to remove the Zone “A” designation from all 106 lots that back up to the lakes in the Gardens of Avalon and Waters of Avalon sections. This document can be referred to by any resident affected by the inaccurate mapping that is looking to obtain flood insurance on their property. As mentioned in the documentation provided by FEMA, all of these property owners are eligible for a Preferred Risk Flood Insurance Policy. The approval of the LOMA is effective immediately.

Letter of Map Amendment

The Letter of Map Amendment was filed on behalf of the District to correct a mapping error by FEMA that incorrectly shows rear lots being in mapped Zone “A” within internal lakes. We have submitted the request to correct the error on behalf of the District since several residents have been told by insurance carriers that their properties are in the floodplain.

Letter of Map Amendment (PDF)

What You Should Know About Hurricanes

From Ready.gov

Where Does Stormwater Go?

For more information about the District’s stormwater management plan, please visit: cleanbayous.org.

Did you know that the stormwater currently receives no treatment?

Water that flows into your storm water drainage system goes directly into our creeks, bayous, rivers, and bays. Because standards of water quality affect every resident in your District, remembering “only rain down the drain” and adhering to this approach will help improve the water quality of our streams, rivers and lakes.

Non-allowable discharges, such as out waste, grass clippings, tree trimmings, oils and grease are a violation of a state-issued stormwater permit. Making an illegal discharge into the storm sewer may be punishable by fines and/or water service termination, per your District’s rate order.

Remember, whatever is put down the storm drain is untreated and flows into the Waters of the USA!

If you see any spills or illegal dumping into the storm drains, your District Operator, or Storm Water Solutions should be contacted as soon as possible. Call the Storm Water Solutions 24-hour phone number at 713.935.1044, or you can use cleanbayous.org to file a report.

To find additional information about stormwater quality, please visit www.cleanbayous.org.