Gulf System Update 07/09 @ 8AM

The National Hurricane Center continues to give Invest 92L an 80% chance of developing into a tropical system, possibly a tropical depression or tropical storm. Environmental conditions and water temperatures are expected to be favorable for tropical cyclone development once the system moves into the Gulf of Mexico and moves westward across the northern Gulf late Wednesday and Thursday. Overnight the track of the disturbance has generally shifted back to our east possibly moving north along the Texas-Louisiana border this weekend. It is still too early to determine the exact location and magnitude/intensity as several factors could alter the ultimate path and development of this system. Based on this morning’s forecast, the heaviest rainfall potential (9+ inches) is located in western Louisiana with Fort Bend County potentially receiving 1 to 4 inches over the weekend.

Changes in the forecasts could/will continue to vary over the next 24 to 48 hours so all residents are encouraged to: