The National Hurricane Center has increased the chances of Invest 92L developing into a tropical system to 90% over the next 2 days. Yesterday, we saw a shift in the track toward central Louisiana; however, this morning, the modeling data showed a possible shift in the track back to the west closer to Cameron, Louisiana. There are several factors playing a role in the development of this system so there continues to be a considerable amount of uncertainty in the ultimate track.
Based on this morning’s forecasts, the heaviest impacts are still shown to be east of the Greater Houston area with the potential for 10+ inches along the Louisiana Coast with Fort Bend County possibly receiving 1 to 3 inches through Monday. Final rainfall amounts are dependent upon the ultimate path of this system so these estimates are subject to change.
Now that the area of low pressure is in the Gulf, the system has started to become better organized and will continue to do so as it drifts west. As it develops, we could see additional changes in the forecasts, especially over the next 12 to 36 hours. All residents are encouraged to:
- Monitor Forecasts Twice a Day.
- Check and stock hurricane kits and have plans ready to be enacted this week.
- Follow trusted weather sources for information (National Hurricane Center, Houston/Galveston National Weather Service, West Gulf River Forecast Center and Fort Bend County Office of Homeland Security & Emergency Management) for any recommendations and changes in forecasts.
- Only use and share credible information from trusted weather sources .
- Refrain from making comparisons of this system to historical storms as every storm is different.