Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 21.24 and falling. The WGRFC predicts that the Brazos River through Richmond will fall out of Action Stage later today. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

The current forecast includes a mixture of sunny to partly cloudy skies with a chance for scatter showers and thunderstorms throughout the week. Our high temperatures should be in the upper 80s to low 90s with our low temperatures in the low the mid-70s. The NWS 7-Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF) shows the majority of the Brazos River Watershed receiving less than ½ inch with some areas possibly receiving closer to ¾ inch.

All eyes are focused on possible tropical development in the western portion of the Gulf of Mexico. Remnants of Tropical Storm Amanda (East Pacific System) are anticipated to move across Guatemala and the Yucatan Peninsula over the next couple of days. As this system moves into the Gulf of Mexico, the National Hurricane Center gives it an 80% chance for tropical cyclone formation. If it forms, it would be named Cristobal. Although confidence has increased in its development, the overall strength and track is still unknown. Some modeling suggests this system could become a Tropical Storm to a moderate hurricane by the beginning of next week moving in a north or northeastern direction; however, until it moves into the Gulf and a center forms, the confidence remains low. LJA will continue to monitor the development of this system and provide updates as we approach the weekend. We encourage everyone to continue to monitor the forecasts published by the National Hurricane Center and stay informed through the Fort Bend County Office of Homeland Security and Emergency Management.

Reservoir Status