Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 8.97. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

This week should consist of sunny to partly cloudy skies with minimal to no rain chances. Our high temperatures will be in the mid- to upper 90s with our low temperatures in the mid to upper 70s. Based on the current 7-Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF), the Upper Brazos Watershed could see 3 to 4 inches of rain while the Lower Brazos River Watershed, including Fort Bend County, could see less than a ¼ inch of rainfall over the next 7 days.

Tropical Activity

The National Hurricane Center is watching 4 Tropical Disturbances in the Atlantic. Based on information from HCFCD this morning: Global forecast models continue to do very little with this wave as it moves generally westward toward the western Caribbean Sea over the next 48-72 hours. The hurricane models (HMON and HWRF) show more significant development of the wave over the western Caribbean Sea with a landfall of a strong tropical storm over either Belize or the southern Yucatan late this week or this weekend. At this time, mid-level ridging north of 99L should keep it moving generally westward with little potential for moving into the Gulf of Mexico through 5 days. After 5 days the system will likely be located over some portion of central America or southern Mexico. Elsewhere in the tropics, a couple of tropical waves over the far eastern Atlantic and moving off the western coast of Africa both show some potential to develop over the next 5 days. The system along the SE US coast will move generally NE/ENE out to sea.

Reservoir Status