Weekly Brazos River Outlook / Gulf Tropical Activity

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 8.84. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River through Fort Bend County is anticipated.

This Week

This week will all depend on the final tracks and development of TS Marco and TS Laura. TS Marco is currently located in the northern Gulf of Mexico, southeast of the Louisiana/Mississippi Border. TS Marco has weakened and is expected to remain a Tropical Storm as it moves in a west to northwestern direction along the Louisiana coastline over the next 24 to 48 hours. By Late Tuesday into early Wednesday, TS Marco should dissipate into a Depression as it continues to move along the Texas coastline toward Galveston Bay. The more significant threat to SE Texas is TS Laura. Currently TS Laura is moving in a northwest direction across Cuba and should enter the Gulf of Mexico late tonight into early tomorrow morning. Over the past 24 hours, Laura’s path has continued to move west, closer to the Texas/Louisiana Border. The confidence in the overall track is increasing but additional shifts are still possible. Based on the forecasts and models, Laura could make landfill as a Category 2 Hurricane as far west as Galveston Bay (Texas) to as far east as Vermillion Bay (Louisiana). Impacts to the region will all depend on the final development and tracks of both storms.

This week our high temperatures will be in the low to mid- 90s with our low temperatures in the upper 70s to ow 80s. Rainfall amounts will vary depending on the development and tracks of TS Marco and TS Laura. Based on the current 7-Day Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (QPF), the lower Brazos River Watershed, including Fort Bend County, could see less than a 1 inch of rainfall over the next 7 days. Similar to previous weeks and with the Tropical Storm activity, areas across the watershed could see less or slightly higher amounts. The most significant rainfall is located east of the Watershed.

The District along with our District Engineer and Operator are continuing to monitor the conditions throughout the week. We encourage everyone to stay informed by visiting your favorite local weather source, including the National Weather Service, the National Hurricane Center, and West Gulf River Forecast Center. If you have not ready down so, please remember to sign up for Emergency Updates from Fort Bend County.

Reservoir Status