Tropical Storm Imelda 2:30 PM Update

The Tropical System that we have been watching over the past couple days has been officially upgraded to Tropical Storm Imelda. The system has produced sustained winds of 40 mph with gusts near 50 mph near Freeport. With its development and the formation of a more well defined surface circulation, we are gaining slightly more confidence in the rainfall forecast and amounts. TS Imelda’s center is forecasted to move in a north to north-northwesterly direction along the SH 288 corridor through Brazoria and Harris County this evening and overnight. This should bring the heaviest rainfall along the center and to the east of its track.

Depending on the final path and speed of TS Imelda, we have the potential for rainfall amounts between 4 to 6 inches with isolated amounts 10 to 15 inches through Thursday. As mentioned, the heaviest rainfall should be along and to the east of the SH 288 corridor, but this system could produce rainfall intensities between 2 to 3 inches per hour. Although Tropical Storm Winds are possible for areas along the Coast, our biggest threat continues to be the rainfall which could cause street and small stream flooding. At this time, there is no forecasted threat of flooding along the Brazos River, but we will continue to monitor the conditions and provide updates as needed.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 10.38. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, we could see a rise in the Brazos River through Fort Bend County; however, at this time no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

A tropical disturbance is currently located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico with a 10% chance of development. Regardless of its development, the region is expected to receive heavy rainfall throughout the week. The current forecasts are showing the potential for widespread rainfall amounts between 3 to 6 inches through Thursday with isolated areas seeing amounts as high as 10 to 15 inches. We will see showers starting to move through the region Monday and Tuesday with the heaviest rainfall potentially falling Wednesday and Thursday. The current forecasts are not calling for major flooding to occur; however, rainfall intensities of 2 to 3 inches per hour with isolated areas of 3 to 4 inches per hour could cause some localized street and stream flooding. We will continue to monitor the conditions throughout the week and provide updates as needed.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

In addition to the disturbance in the Gulf of Mexico, the National Hurricane Center is continuing to watch Hurricane Humberto and another disturbance in the central Atlantic.

Reservoir Status

Below is a summary of the current Reservoir Status.

Eastern Gulf Tropical Disturbance

The National Hurricane Center is watching the potential for a tropical system in the eastern Gulf of Mexico. As of this morning, this disturbance has a 30% of development over the next few days as in moves toward the western Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system could bring widespread rainfall Monday through Wednesday with the heaviest rainfall possible occurring south of I-10. The rainfall amounts are still unclear but some of the forecasts are showing the potential for 2 to 6 inches through Wednesday. The final amount of rainfall will depend on the conditions as the system moves toward southeast Texas. We will continue to monitor the forecasts and provide updates as needed.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 10.54. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

Some were lucky enough to receive rainfall this morning; however, the majority was located within eastern Fort Bend County with a peak total of just over ¾ inch in the Sugar Land area. The current forecasts are showing additional rain chances (between 20 to 50%) this afternoon through Wednesday with highs in the low 90s. After Wednesday, the hot, dry weather returns as our rain chances drop below 20% with highs in the mid to upper 90s. Not including this morning’s rainfall, the 7 day forecast is showing a total of less than ½ of rainfall for most of the lower Brazos River watershed, including Fort Bend County.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

The National Hurricane Center is currently watching 2 disturbances in the Atlantic along with Tropical Storm Gabrielle; however, at this time there are no threats to the western Gulf of Mexico.

Reservoir Status

Below is a summary of the current Reservoir Status.

Notice of Public Hearing on Tax Rate

The Fort Bend Levee Improvement District #14 will hold a public hearing on a proposed tax rate for the tax year 2019 on September 9, 2019 at 3:00 pm at Avalon Recreation Center, One Avalon Place, Sugar Land TX 77479. Your individual taxes may increase or decrease, depending on the change in the taxable value of your property in relation to the change in taxable value of all other property and the tax rate that is adopted.

Notice of Public Hearing on Tax Rate (PDF)

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 12.14. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated as drought conditions continue to rise with limited precipitation in the forecast.

This Week

Drought conditions continue to increase as excessive heat and limited to no precipitation has fallen over the past couple weeks. The first part of this week will remain hot with highs near the upper 90s with the potential to hit 100°. A “weak summertime cold front” approaches the region on Wednesday and arrives on Thursday. This will increase our rain chances and bring temperatures down to the mid-90s. Overall, the forecast is showing less than ½ inch of rain over the next 7 days.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

The National Hurricane Center does not anticipate any tropical development over the next 2 to 5 days.

Reservoir Status

Below is a summary of the current Reservoir Status.

Mowing Scope of Services

The territory requiring the following services amounts to 31.4 acres. The Contractor’s responsibilities will include:

  • Mowing, assuming one mowing per month
  • Handwork, assuming one instance per month. Handwork will include debris removal and weedeating.
  • Fertilization with 4-2-2 Organic fertilizer, once annually
  • Overseed for winter and spring, with Bermuda Grass seed and Ryegrass seed
  • Reconnaissance, to include inspection, reports, and pictures as required

Please submit proposals, if any, by Thursday August 8. Please include an option for a one-year and a three-year term in your proposal.

Submit Proposals to: Ben.Stephens@huschblackwell.com

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 13.78. Based on the 7-day extended forecast, no flooding along the Brazos River is anticipated.

This Week

The extended forecast is showing a continuation of our weekend weather with highs in the low to mid 90s with relatively low rain changes over the next several days. Our highest chance for rain is Tuesday and Wednesday; however, overall the forecasts are showing less than ½ inch over the next 7 days.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

The National Hurricane Center is giving a tropical disturbance a 20% chance of forming over the next 5 days. The disturbance is currently over the eastern Caribbean Sea and is expected to move west-northwestward across the Caribbean Sea and the Greater Antilles during the next few days. At this time, it is anticipated that this tropical wave could move toward Florida before making a north-northeasterly turn avoiding the western Gulf of Mexico.

Reservoir Status

Below is a summary of the current Reservoir Status.

Weekly Brazos River Outlook

The Brazos River in Richmond is currently at Gage Elevation 16.36 and could remain relatively low and level into the weekend.

This Week

Over the next several days our region should see mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with highs in the low to mid 90s. The NWS is showing the potential for some isolated showers over the next few days, but overall Fort Bend County and much of the Brazos River Watershed should see less than 0.25 inches over the next 7 days. It is still to early to tell, but we could see our rain chances increase early next week.

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

The National Hurricane Center along with the Weather Prediction Center is continuing to issue advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry, which is located over southern Missouri City. Other than Post-Tropical Cyclone Barry, Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

Reservoir Status

Below is a summary of the current Reservoir Status.

Gulf System Update 07/11 @ 8AM

Over the past 24 hours, Potential Tropical Cyclone Two has continued to slowly develop and is expected to become a tropical depression later today. Based on this morning’s forecast, it could develop into a Tropical Storm on Friday and possibly a Hurricane late Friday or Saturday morning. There still remains some uncertainty in the ultimate track; however, confidence continues to grow that the system will make landfill near the central part of Louisiana.  Flooding as already occurred in portions of Louisiana with an additional 10 to 15 inches with isolated amounts of 20 inches as the result of this system expected over the next several days.
 
Locally, the impacts to Fort Bend County and the areas west of Houston should be minimal. This morning’s forecast is showing our area receiving less than one inch through Tuesday morning. We will continue to monitor for any changes in the track and intensity which can have an impact on final rainfall amounts.
 
Although this system is showing signs of being less impactful to our area, we continue to encourage residents to: